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ERA Beach Ball RealtyERA   Beach Ball® Realty
Chris Reid Real Estate
May 2008  
Update by
Chris Reid
Learn How You Can Take Advantage of the Current Buyer's Market!
Prices are down!
Investors are continuing to taking advantage of great opportunities right now!
Why Don't You !

Market analysis and good data are now more critical than ever!

May 7th, 2008 by Editor in News: Single Family

One of the nation’s leading housing market experts, Professor Karl E. Case of Wellesley College apparently thinks the housing maret is at or very near the bottom.

On May 6 the WSJ published (and we opined on) the commentary of the Cyril Moulle-Berteaux (managing partner of Traxis Partners LP, a New York based hedge fund), detailing Moulle-Berteaux’s thoughts on improving home affordability nationally signaling the bottom of housing’s struggles. 

Professor Case’s theory is an interesting one (and quite different from Moulle-Berteaux’s) – in the last three housing crashes (1991, 1982, and 1975) the “bottom” was reached when housing starts dropped below the one million mark.  When did it happen in this downturn? March 2008. 

Case has been quoted as saying, “It is really remarkable how much where we are today looks like the bottom we’ve had in the last three cycles.  Every time we’ve gone below a million starts, the market has cleared at that moment.”  A reader has emailed in a transcript of an interview Case recently did, and we’ll post more of it once we can parse it a bit further. 

There are markets obviously where there will still be price corrections; some of those corrections will be major price corrections.  Brett Arends writing in the WSJ today makes a thoughtful point though – if you’re buying today, there are reasons to consider jumping back in the game with both feet. 

He (Arends) offers four reasons to not sit on the sidelines if indeed home prices in many markets may be nearing the bottom – 1) there are lots of bargain hunters out there, demand will drive prices; 2) the weak dollar has made US homes attractive to many foreign buyers; 3) 30 year fixed rate mortgages can be had for rates under 6% with solid credit – that won’t last as the market recovers; 4) there is an increasingly sensible argument that in a time of inflationary pressures and faltering currencies, hard (real estate) assets will be under increasing demand. 

Our data continues to demonstrate that for both multifamily and single family assets there are markets out there that quite healthy, despite the woes of the worst in the nation.  It’s going to be a while before most the country’s real estate turmoil has settled, but there are sound markets to be considering now.  Market analysis and good data is now more critical than ever, and there will likely not be bargains to be had as there are now for some time to come. 



Interest Rates
as of April 24, 2008:

30 yr. Conv:   6.03
15 yr. Conv:   5.62
1 yr. adj:         5.29
 

Source: Realty Times
 




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What Does The Economic Stimulus Package
Mean To You?

by Peter G. Miller

Since passed by overwhelming Capitol Hill majorities in January, there has been much talk regarding the economic stimulus package. Yes, it will cost $168 billion, but what does it actually do for individuals?

The stimulus package is designed to help the country moderate the worst effects of a slowing economy and perhaps even avoid a recession. The idea is to encourage spending and with more spending to increase economic activity. While the theory looks good on paper, it will likely take months or years to know if it actually works.

The January stimulus package has five major components that will immediately impact individuals with an interest in real estate.

1. Checks from Uncle Sam: According to the White House, taxpayers can receive rebates of up to $600 for individuals and $1,200 for couples. A minimum of $300 per person and $600 per couple will be available to those with at least $3,000 of earned income. This relief will be available to everyone with adjusted gross income less than $75,000 for singles and $150,000 for married couples filing jointly. The rebates will be phased out for taxpayers above those income thresholds.

2. Additional rebates will be mailed out for those with children. Everyone eligible for a rebate would also receive an additional $300 per child. For example, this would mean up to $1,800 of tax relief for an eligible couple with two children.

3. Reduced Income Taxes for Low-Income Wage Earners: The legislation says that 2008 taxes will be eliminated on the first $6,000 of taxable income for individual taxpayers and the first $12,000 of taxable income for couples. The tax rate used to be 10 percent on such income.

4. FHA mortgage loan limits will more than double in some cases. The usual limit in high-cost areas in the lower 48 states will rise from $362,790 to $729,750. Such financing allows buyer to purchase homes with 3 percent down.

5. Conventional loan limits will increase.The maximum size of a "conforming" loan will go from $417,000 to $729,750. While the benefits for individuals look good, there are some caveats to consider.

First, those rebate checks are a one-time deal. While the government hopes that individuals will use the money for spending, many recipients will use the cash to pay down debts. Paying off bills can be a good use of your cash because it can mean lower monthly costs and better credit scores, thus lowering interest costs when you borrow to finance a home or car.

Second, if you want to buy or refinance with the new class of "conventional jumbo" mortgages, be aware that the FHA and conventional loan limits have only been raised for 2008. It's possible that the old limits will be reinstated in January 2009, so if you want a larger mortgage start planning now.

Third, while the conventional loan limit applies nationwide, the maximum amount you can borrow under the FHA program varies by location. In other words, the biggest loans will not be available everywhere. For specifics regarding your area, please speak with a mortgage counselor.




 

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Chris Reid, REALTORS
ERA Beach Ball® Realty
www.easthillpensacolahomes.com

Chris.Reid@ERA.com
Chris Direct (850) 485-3575
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ERA Beach Ball® Realty
501 East Gregory Street
Pensacola Fl 32502
Office (850) 437-5618
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