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ERA Beach Ball RealtyERA   Beach Ball Realty
Chris Reid Real Estate
October 2008  
Update by
Chris Reid
Learn How You Can Take Advantage of the Current Buyer's Market!
Prices are down!
Investors are continuing to taking advantage of great opportunities right now!
Why Don't You !

The Re-Thinking of Mortgage Deregulation

The American dream has always had home ownership at its core. Mortgages have enabled ordinary people to join the propertied class. For most people the prime financial asset they possess is the equity in their home.

Rising defaults in the sub prime mortgage market have uncovered fundamental weaknesses in an economy that was built on speculative borrowing. The past month has seen credit drying up and the fall out has begun to spill over into the wider economy. Many major retailers are reporting softer sales as consumers put off discretionary purchases. All investors will be at risk if the inflated stock market turns out to be a bubble. On top of this, foreclosures are expected to soar this winter as some 2 million mortgages are scheduled for rate increases this fall.

The mortgage companies that offered sub-prime loans blame the investors who made the practice possible. The problem runs much deeper. The sub-prime debacle is not so much a new crisis as a continuation of the saga that began with the 1980's savings and loan scandal. The real problem is the ideology of deregulation.

Free-marketers promised greater efficiency and more plentiful credit, if government regulators would just get out of the way. In each episode of deregulation the result has been increased speculation followed by huge losses and the cost is passed on to the public.

The majority of today's biggest mortgage lenders are subsidiaries of banks. While the loan portfolios of the parent banks are still strictly regulated, their mortgage subsidiaries are not, because the loans don't stay on their books. For the most part, mortgage lenders make their profits based on their volume of loans. Many of these lenders loosened credit standards far past acceptable discretion because they knew that they could pass off the risk to some other investor. The Wall Street Journal states that the value of sub prime loans soared from $50 billion to more than $600 billion between 2001 and 2005.

Borrowers with poor credit histories were offered loans they did not qualify for, often without income verification. Mortgage companies offered loans with no down payments and low "teaser" rates that became too expensive once they increased to the market rate. Many of these loans are already in default.

Mortgage companies are exempt from federal regulation so there was no government agency to temper these practices. Home buyers and lenders were both betting that appreciation in housing prices would allow early refinancing, or that equity windfalls would allow the borrowers to meet the payments. They were blind sided when the housing market corrected itself. To quote Warren Buffett, "You don't know who's swimming naked until the tide goes out."

The mortgage industry has put a pretty face on its tactics, contending that it was virtuously helping less-affluent people become homeowners. Deregulation has flunked its lengthy experiment. America needs a system to support home-ownership while making sure that mortgage lenders serve as responsible creditors, not predators. It's too late to head off the current deregulation disaster, however Congress needs to take steps now to prevent the next one.



Interest Rates
as of September 25, 2008:

30 yr. Conv:   6.09
15 yr. Conv:   5.77
1 yr. adj:         5.17
 

Source: Realty Times
 




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High-quality mortgage-backed securities remain the investment of choice in the eyes of bond fund giant PIMCO.

Pimco's Total Return Fund, the world's largest bond fund, raised its holdings of mortgage-backed securities to 79% by the end of September, a level not seen since at least June 2000, from 69% a month earlier, according to data from the company's web site.
In contrast, Pimco continued to snub U.S. government debt, reducing its holdings for the ninth straight month, even though Treasurys have benefited over the past couple of months from massive safe-haven flows.
Pimco spokesman Mark Porterfield said Monday the company doesn't comment on its bond holdings. Bill Gross, Pimco's co-chief investment officer and manager of the $129.59 billion Total Return Fund, didn't immediately respond to an email seeking comments on the holdings.
Over the past six months, the Total Return Fund has lost about 3.4%, compared with a decline of 1.5% on its benchmark, the Lehman Brothers U.S. Aggregate Index, according to data from the company's web site. Still, the fund gained 3.8% over the past 12 months, beating the index's 3.65%. Over the past five years, the fund has returned 4.3%, more than 3.9% on the benchmark.
Steve Rodosky, head of Treasury and derivatives trading at Pimco in Newport Beach, Calif., said Monday that he continues to favor agency MBS -- the mortgage pass-through securities that are sold and guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac which were nationalized by the U.S. government last month -- as well as agency debt. The explicit stamp from the federal government reduces credit risk, making the debt more attractive to investors.
Monday, risk premiums on agency MBS tightened amid signs of a slow revival in money markets, but earlier this month, both MBS and agency debt saw their risk premiums widen after the Treasury stepped in to backstop short-term debt sold by some major banks for a limited time and announced a plan to invest directly in banks. Investors sold agency debt and bought bonds sold by banks instead, enticed by higher yields.
But Mr. Rodosky said that despite the government backstop, there remain questions regarding bank debt offerings, including size, maturities and yield levels for new debt offerings.
"There are questions to be answered before you can even make judgment about relative value," said Mr. Rodosky in a phone interview Monday. "So I think you have to be patient," he added.
"Until then, we are going to stick with what we know which is GSE mortgage backed and GSE debenture papers," he said.

Wall Street Journal, Min Zeng




 

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Chris Reid, REALTORS
ERA Beach Ball Realty
www.EastHillPensacolaHomes.com
www.DowntownPensacolaCondos.com
Chris.Reid@ERA.com
Chris Direct (850) 485-3575
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ERA Beach Ball Realty
501 East Gregory Street
Pensacola Fl 32502

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